UPDATE 2-Wall St Wk Ahead:Likely win for Greek pro-bailout parties may bring respite - Reuters UK
(Updates with early Greek election results)
By Caroline Valetkevitch and Edward Krudy
NEW YORK, June 17 (Reuters) - Early results from Greece's elections on Sunday showed pro-bailout parties are on course to win a slim majority, which may give markets some respite, bu t any coalition's majority looks set to be nar row and may lack the stability needed to push through painful reforms.
Whatever the outcome, Europe's problems are far from over as the debt crisis threatens to further engulf the larger economies of Spain and Italy.
Any sign of stresses in markets on Monday morning and investors will be looking for action from the world's central banks who, according to officials, stand ready to intervene if trading becomes turbulent.
At stake in Greece's election, as investors see it, may be the country's future in the euro zone and possibly the future of the currency bloc itself.
The Greek conservative New Democracy party and Socialist PASOK, who broadly back an EU/IMF bailout package keeping Greece from bankruptcy, looked set to jointly secure a slim majority in parliament. SYRIZA, the leading leftist party that pledged to tear up the terms of the bailout package, conceded defeat.
"Most probably they will try to form coalitions and the real question is, with the horse trading how stable is it?" said Doug Roberts, chief investment strategist at Channel Capital Research.com in Shrewsbury, New Jersey. "But right now it's more like kicking the can down the road. Either way you're not talking about a stable situation."
An official vote projection showed New Democracy taking 29.5 percent of the vote, with SYRIZA in second place with 27.1 percent and PASOK third with 12.3 percent.
Because of a 50-seat bonus given to the party that comes in first, the result translates into 128 seats for New Democracy and 33 seats for PASOK in the 300-seat parliament.
Roberts said whether or not central banks intervene will depend on markets next week. "If the markets start heading south I think they will be forced to," he said.
In one of the few markets trading shortly after the official election projections in Greece, the euro hit a three-week high against the U.S. dollar in early Australasian trade, rising to around $1.2730 according to Reuters data from around $1.2655 late in New York on Friday.
But markets have had a tendency to react positively to political developments late Sunday and early Monday only to quickly reverse. That was the case last weekend after the EU announced a 100 billion euro bailout for Spanish banks.
Weeks of worry over the potential outcome of the Greek election have prompted a number of central banks to prepare for market problems.
Central banks from major economies are ready to take steps to calm markets should the outcome of the Greek elections create a market storm, officials from the Group of 20 told Reuters.
Among them, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the ECB was ready to step in and fund any viable euro zone bank that gets in trouble. The Bank of England on Thursday announced a $155 billion (100 billion pound) offer of loans to banks.
Group of 20 leaders kick off a two-day summit in Mexico on Monday and the rest of the week is not likely to be any quieter.
The Federal Reserve is due to release a policy statement on Wednesday at the end of its two-day meeting, and the steady flow of sovereign debt warnings and downgrades is likely to continue.
In another sign of investor nervousness, the CBOE Volatility index, Wall Street's fear gauge, was up for much of Friday even as stocks rose, although the VIX closed lower. Stocks and the VIX typically have an inverse relationship.
Many investors have been trying to prepare for the worst.
"People have been hedging their positions aggressively over the past two weeks heading into this weekend," said Alec Levine, a derivatives strategist at Newedge Group SA in New York.
"No matter what happens (this) week, we will return to a massive game of chicken between the newly elected Greek government, whoever that may be, and the EU, specifically Germany."
THE FED AHEAD
Despite the fears, stocks ended the week on a positive note, marking a second straight week of gains. The benchmark Standard & Poor's index is now up 6.8 percent for 2012, though still well off its highest levels of the year.
Part of what has spurred optimism for stock investors in recent weeks has been the hope that the Fed and other central banks would act to provide more economic stimulus. There has been continuing speculation over whether the Fed will engage in a third round of quantitative easing.
"We do think that expectations of QE3 will drive the market one way or the other," said Omar Aguilar, chief investment officer for equities at Charles Schwab Corp, in San Francisco.
But the fact that the Fed has made no recent changes to policy could mean the economic data policymakers are seeing is "not as bad as everyone thinks," Aguilar said.
Also ahead of the vote, Russell Indexes said certain events in Greece could mean changes in its indexes through implementation of its "financial crisis" rule. Its indexes include the Russell Global Index.
ON RATINGS WATCH
Adding to investor nervousness has been a slew of recent ratings cuts.
Among the most recent, Fitch Ratings on Friday downgraded Egypt's sovereign credit rating deeper into junk status. On Thursday, Egan-Jones cut France's sovereign credit rating.
Many investors see that trend continuing as agencies try to gauge the impact of the euro zone and other problems on the global economy.
"We're probably going to see more of it," Peterson said. (Additional reporting by Doris Frankel; Editing by Maureen Bavdek and Chizu Nomiyama)
Modi needs to review style of working: RSS mouthpiece - in.news.yahoo.com
New Delhi, June 2 (IANS) In an apparent disapproval by the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) of Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi's style of working, an article in the organisation's mouthpiece has indicated that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has several prime ministerial candidates.
It also disapproved of Modi's reported insistence on resignation of Sanjay Joshi from the BJP's national executive last week.
The article, which figures in the latest issue of Panchjanaya, said it was being felt that Modi needed to do a rethink about organisational capabilities.
"It seems Narendra Modi needs to review his style of working and organisational ability," it said.
The article assumes significance because its author Devendra Swaroop is a former editor of Panchjanaya and has access to views of the RSS insiders.
"The role of Narendra Modi in the Sanjay Joshi episode at BJP's national executive meeting in Mumbai is worth considering...why despite having faith in the Sangh, Modi could not control his unhappiness towards a fellow RSS functionary is a mystery. He made Joshi's presence a prestige issue and allowed the media to attack the BJP and the Sangh," the article said.
It also attacked Modi over media reports about Joshi changing his travel plans and boarding a plane instead of going by train after the Mumbai meeting as the train would have touched places in Gujarat.
"It allowed opponents of the BJP to speak against Modi," it said.
Modi apparently insisted that he would attend the conclave only if his bete noire Joshi resigned from the party's national executive and the party bowed to his demand.
In a dig at Modi's prime ministerial ambitions, it said that the BJP had several chief ministers and central leaders who were capable of being its prime ministerial candidates. But it said that the decision should be taken by the the parliamentary party after the party won the Lok Sabha election.
The article in the RSS mouthpiece slamming Modi's action at the BJP executive close to veteran BJP leader L.K. Advani launching an attack on party president Nitin Gadkari, saying "the mood within the party is not upbeat".
Advani said in his blog that people were angry with the Congress-led government but they were upset with the BJP too.
HKEx to examine LME warehousing rules -FT - Reuters UK
LONDON, June 17 |
LONDON, June 17 (Reuters) - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd (HKEx), the prospective buyer of the London Metal Exchange (LME), said it will look at the lucrative metal warehousing business that has attracted investments from Goldman Sachs and Glencore, the Financial Times reported on Sunday.
LME regulations allow companies operating warehouses in the global network registered by the exchange to release only a fraction of their inventories each day - much less than is regularly taken in for storage.
Clients of the exchange - the world's biggest marketplace for industrial metals - wait in queues to collect the metal, all the while paying rent to warehouses. The warehouse operators blame logistical bottlenecks for delays but critics say it is a tactic to increase rental income.
HKEx, which on Friday agreed to buy the 135-year-old metals marketplace for 1.4 billion pounds ($2.19 billion) subject to shareholder approval, said it planned to change the rules governing the LME's warehouse network in an attempt to shorten the wait to take delivery of metal, the FT reported.
Charles Li, chief executive of HKEx, was quoted as saying that warehousing was a "very challenging issue."
"It is no longer just a simple logistic challenge issue There are behaviour issues. We need to look at the rules, what behaviour they encourage and what behaviour they discourage," Li was quoted as saying.
But in a later statement clarifying his views, he added: "Our position is no different from the current LME position."
HKEx's bid must still pass a vote of the LME's shareholders, of which the largest are JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs.
Martin Abbott, chief executive of the LME, has in the past attributed the problem to logistical challenges in removing metal from warehouses and low interest rates that make it easy to finance inventories.
The LME said, "We are constantly monitoring the way that LME warehousing functions and will take action when appropriate." ($1 = 0.6393 British pounds) (Reporting By Veronica Brown; Editing by Marguerita Choy)

0 Responses to "UPDATE 2-Wall St Wk Ahead:Likely win for Greek pro-bailout parties may bring respite - Reuters UK"
Post a Comment